Manifold is a popular play-money prediction market where people forecast elections, technology milestones, sports, science and much more. Its official MCP server gives an assistant read access to that crowd forecasting data.

Tools:
- search-markets — find markets by keywords, topic or status.
- get-market — current probability, volume, description and resolution criteria of a market.
- get-bets — recent bets on a market.
- get-user and search-users — profiles and track records of forecasters.

Typical use: "What does Manifold currently estimate for the chance that a new frontier model is released before the end of the year, and how has it moved?"

Who it is for: researchers, journalists, analysts and anyone curious about crowd forecasts.

Notes: free, no account needed for reading. Manifold uses play money (mana); this server reads data and does not place bets.